Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 71.304595 80.372078 89.633190 99.767098 110.512626 121.537654 133.675127
2025-11-09 56.455880 69.384437 83.186397 98.883206 116.114087 134.339386 154.963177
2025-11-16 47.996633 63.043084 79.643756 99.043188 120.838917 144.347723 171.407311
2025-11-23 40.779581 57.135644 75.751486 98.045839 123.605285 151.631919 184.346143
2025-11-30 36.267731 53.807224 74.314173 99.378441 128.584161 161.025512 199.301440
2025-12-07 32.664470 51.170940 73.355855 100.970522 133.607562 170.262759 213.901949
2025-12-14 28.335293 47.211003 70.472648 99.997566 135.410835 175.634230 223.956626
2025-12-21 24.160658 43.056750 67.037887 98.089650 135.885837 179.290277 231.889692
2025-12-28 22.871884 42.622808 68.171602 101.671237 142.817526 190.384673 248.329242
2026-01-04 21.046050 41.276759 68.012172 103.552051 147.630380 198.947904 261.803414
2026-01-11 18.486036 38.659054 66.027344 103.007643 149.395221 203.841357 270.944810
2026-01-18 16.227285 36.269652 64.190947 102.525195 151.135068 208.627464 279.897078
2026-01-25 14.511858 34.574810 63.226251 103.135724 154.232559 215.072613 290.872199
2026-02-01 12.511927 32.230354 61.231290 102.304360 155.464254 219.233768 299.123911
2026-02-08 11.014136 30.542039 60.047765 102.454890 157.860164 224.748163 308.939250
2026-02-15 9.361130 28.389850 58.067672 101.440656 158.704406 228.321965 316.397624
2026-02-22 8.472714 27.500206 57.875496 102.798418 162.543978 235.530910 328.193068
2026-03-01 7.727062 26.790763 57.902294 104.420922 166.701447 243.117335 340.437266
2026-03-08 6.482999 24.940623 56.091997 103.429431 167.420666 246.428217 347.499305
2026-03-15 5.200861 22.783821 53.671668 101.484965 166.821612 248.049925 352.471754
2026-03-22 5.071387 23.119836 55.204166 105.134916 173.574634 258.826434 368.570722
2026-03-29 4.646986 22.727360 55.533704 107.051206 178.030653 266.733941 381.181938
2026-04-05 3.862729 21.347052 54.178255 106.496558 179.176397 270.474579 388.695294